the.com/hemline

The economy's hidden yardstick: skirts rise with confidence, fall with doubt.

means The lower edge of a skirt or dress, and its height from season to season.

from A simple compound of 'hem' — the finished edge of cloth, from Old English 'hem' meaning border or edge — plus 'line,' marking where that edge falls. The economic folklore attached to it (that hemlines rise in boom times and drop in downturns) is a 20th-century idea, popularly tied to an economist's musings, but it's an observation about fashion layered onto the word, not where the word itself comes from.

the theory
shorter hemlines allegedly predict bull markets
coined by
economist George Taylor in 1926
the catch
correlation, not causation, despite the folklore
fashion logic
fabric rationing in recessions also shortens skirts
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