the.com/survivorship bias

You study the winners, ignore the graveyard, then act shocked nobody warned you about the graveyard.

means The error of drawing conclusions only from the people or things that survived some process, while the failures go uncounted and invisible.

from Coined within 20th-century statistics, the phrase got its signature story from WWII analysis of aircraft returning from combat: engineers initially wanted to armor the spots on surviving planes riddled with bullet holes, until statistician Abraham Wald pointed out that those planes survived despite those hits — the real danger zones were the unhit spots on the planes that never made it back. 'Survivorship' names the quiet statistical sin: counting only who lived to be counted.

origin story
WWII planes studied for bullet holes that didn't crash
the fix
armor the spots with no holes, not the ones with holes
everyday version
successful dropouts get books, failed dropouts get nothing
why it sticks
the dead don't show up to tell their story
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