the.com/powder keg

A situation so volatile, the only mystery is which spark gets the blame.

means A situation or place so tense and unstable that almost anything could trigger a sudden, explosive crisis.

from Literal before it was figurative: a powder keg was a wooden barrel used to store and transport gunpowder, common on ships and in armories and forts from around the 1600s onward. A stray spark near one meant catastrophe, so the phrase jumped into political and social language by the 1800s to describe any place or situation — a tense region, a heated argument, a crowded room of grudges — primed to blow at the smallest provocation.

origin
literally a barrel of gunpowder, often near cannons
famous use
europe before 1914, called the balkans
irony
everyone sees it coming, nobody removes the fuse
modern use
any office meeting about budget cuts
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