the.com/policymaker

Someone who gets paid to guess the future, then blame the data when wrong.

means A person in government or an institution with the authority to set official rules, plans, or courses of action that others must follow.

from A straightforward 20th-century compound: 'policy,' from Greek politeia (the conduct of civic affairs, via French 'policie' and Middle English), fused with 'maker.' The word rose alongside modern bureaucracies and economics — once you have institutions big enough to need deliberate, named 'policies,' you eventually need a noun for whoever makes them.

job security
failures get called unforeseen circumstances
core skill
sounding certain while hedging everything
feedback loop
results arrive years after the decision
real power
writing rules others must actually follow
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