the.com/null hypothesis

The boring default you must disprove before claiming anything cool is true.

means The null hypothesis is the baseline assumption — usually that there's no effect, no difference, no relationship — which a statistical test tries to find evidence against.

from 'Null' traces to Latin nullus, 'none,' and entered statistical vocabulary in the early 20th century as researchers formalized hypothesis testing — most notably through the work of statistician Ronald Fisher, who framed experiments around a hypothesis of 'no difference' that the data could either knock down or fail to knock down. The word 'hypothesis' itself comes from Greek hypotithenai, 'to put under' or 'suppose,' the idea being something set beneath an argument as its tentative foundation.

assumes
nothing special is happening, differences are chance
you never prove
it, you only fail to reject it
named by
Ronald Fisher, who loved crushing it statistically
scandal fuel
p-hacking exists just to dodge rejecting it
the.com · every word