the.com/estimate
a number wearing a tuxedo, pretending it isn't a guess that showed up nice.
hofstadter's lawtasks take longer than expected, even counting Hofstadter's Law
root meaningfrom Latin aestimare, to value or appraise worth
planning fallacyhumans chronically underpredict their own task completion times
engineering trickexperienced estimators secretly double the number, then add buffer