the.com/downswing
Variance's favorite alibi: the stretch where skill takes a nap and math takes the wheel.
means A sustained stretch of losing results that's driven by statistical variance rather than a drop in actual skill.
from A straightforward compound of 'down' and 'swing,' borrowing the image of a pendulum or golf swing arcing downward. It entered gambling and trading slang (especially poker) in the 20th century to describe the low phase of a streak, paired naturally with its opposite, 'upswing' — both riding on the older physical sense of swing as a back-and-forth motion.
- not a slump
- same decisions, worse results, temporarily
- poker term
- popularized by online grinders tracking losses in big blinds
- ends eventually
- if your strategy was actually correct to begin with
- danger zone
- tempts players into tilt-fueled strategy changes mid-swing